Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-1709:40Petco Park

Astros

Away

1-3

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6	0
Padres	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	X	3	13	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Padres scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.4

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Padres scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Inn.7

Astros scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Padres defense

30%R 40% · RA 20%

Padres offense × Astros defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp

Last 20 60% · Season 53% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

46%

-8pp

4–6 Middle

49%

-5pp

7–9 Late

58%

+7pp

F5 first five

48%

-6pp

F9 full game

51%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

149 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 690Runs Allowed 596

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 716Runs Allowed 631

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	28% 41/149	22% 33/149	#330% 45/149	#135% 52/149	26% 38/149	#232% 48/149	26% 38/149	26% 38/149	19% 22/113	50% 9/18
Astros	RA	#229% 43/149	23% 34/149	23% 34/149	19% 29/149	#327% 40/149	#130% 44/149	21% 31/149	26% 39/149	25% 30/121	67% 12/18
Padres	R	#330% 45/150	25% 37/150	22% 33/150	26% 39/150	#133% 49/150	25% 38/150	29% 44/150	#231% 47/150	20% 24/119	91% 10/11
Padres	RA	#131% 47/150	26% 39/150	22% 33/150	#231% 47/150	17% 25/150	25% 37/150	23% 34/150	23% 35/150	#328% 35/125	36% 4/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.