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Final
2024-09-1707:10Citi Field
Nationals
Away
1-2
Mets
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Team12345678910RHE
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +26pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
43%R 50% · RA 35%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
33%R 31% · RA 35%
Sample 14Combined vs league +26pp
Last 20 76% · Season 59% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-6pp
7–9 Late
60%
+9pp
F5 first five
48%
-7pp
F9 full game
52%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

149 games
033671011355968162108279773836446876563886655675779869589193110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 624Runs Allowed 705

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

149 games
033671001346251171652758138363410774590756446478881865579233310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 708Runs Allowed 644
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR20% 30/14926% 38/149#230% 44/149#329% 43/14928% 42/14925% 37/14924% 36/14924% 36/149#133% 38/11656% 10/18
RA23% 35/149#134% 51/14930% 44/14924% 36/14928% 41/149#231% 46/14923% 35/149#330% 45/14925% 29/11772% 13/18
MetsR24% 36/14926% 39/14928% 41/149#328% 42/149#132% 47/14928% 42/14917% 26/14928% 41/149#229% 35/11945% 9/20
RA20% 30/149#329% 43/14927% 40/14920% 30/149#232% 47/14928% 41/14925% 37/14928% 41/149#132% 38/11965% 13/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.