Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-1601:35Nationals Park

Marlins

Away

3-4

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	6	0
Nationals	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	1	X	4	8	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Marlins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 41%

Opponent allowing 29%

Nationals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 47%

Opponent allowing 33%

Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp

Inn.6

Marlins scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.2

Marlins scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Nationals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Nationals defense

35%R 41% · RA 29%

Nationals offense × Marlins defense

40%R 47% · RA 33%

Sample 12Combined vs league +25pp

Last 20 75% · Season 53% · +22pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+8pp

7–9 Late

56%

+5pp

F5 first five

57%

+3pp

F9 full game

59%

+6pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

149 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 564Runs Allowed 764

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

148 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 620Runs Allowed 702

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	23% 34/149	#326% 39/149	21% 32/149	25% 37/149	26% 39/149	21% 31/149	#227% 40/149	17% 25/149	#128% 37/131	58% 14/24
Marlins	RA	#138% 57/149	30% 44/149	32% 47/149	#332% 48/149	#234% 51/149	30% 44/149	24% 36/149	27% 40/149	21% 22/104	54% 13/24
Nationals	R	20% 30/148	26% 38/148	#230% 44/148	#328% 42/148	28% 41/148	25% 37/148	24% 36/148	24% 35/148	#133% 38/116	56% 10/18
Nationals	RA	24% 35/148	#134% 51/148	29% 43/148	24% 36/148	28% 41/148	#231% 46/148	23% 34/148	#330% 45/148	24% 28/116	72% 13/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.