Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-1601:35Citizens Bank Park

Mets

Away

1-2

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	7	0
Phillies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1X	2	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.6

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Phillies scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 5%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.9

Mets scoring tendency

27%

Own scoring 31%

Opponent allowing 22%

Phillies scoring tendency

41%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 31%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Phillies defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Phillies offense × Mets defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 68% · Season 58% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

50%

-4pp

7–9 Late

55%

+4pp

F5 first five

48%

-6pp

F9 full game

52%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

148 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 707Runs Allowed 642

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

148 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 723Runs Allowed 605

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	24% 36/148	26% 39/148	28% 41/148	#328% 42/148	#132% 47/148	28% 42/148	18% 26/148	27% 40/148	#230% 35/118	45% 9/20
Mets	RA	20% 30/148	#329% 43/148	27% 40/148	20% 30/148	#132% 47/148	28% 41/148	25% 37/148	27% 40/148	#231% 37/118	65% 13/20
Phillies	R	#137% 55/148	24% 35/148	30% 45/148	30% 44/148	30% 45/148	#233% 49/148	#332% 47/148	24% 36/148	31% 33/106	55% 12/22
Phillies	RA	26% 39/148	24% 35/148	#132% 47/148	19% 28/148	#228% 42/148	25% 37/148	27% 40/148	24% 35/148	#327% 33/122	45% 10/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.