Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-1406:40Citizens Bank Park

Mets

Away

11-3

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	0	0	6	1	0	3	1	11	14	0
Phillies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	4	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Phillies scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.9

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 19%

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 29%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.6

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Phillies scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 5%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Phillies defense

35%R 25% · RA 45%

Phillies offense × Mets defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 72% · Season 59% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

49%

-5pp

7–9 Late

52%

+1pp

F5 first five

50%

-4pp

F9 full game

52%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

146 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 692Runs Allowed 633

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

146 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 714Runs Allowed 590

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	24% 35/146	27% 39/146	27% 40/146	#329% 42/146	#132% 46/146	28% 41/146	18% 26/146	27% 39/146	#229% 34/116	45% 9/20
Mets	RA	21% 30/146	#329% 43/146	27% 40/146	20% 29/146	#132% 47/146	27% 40/146	25% 36/146	27% 39/146	#231% 36/117	65% 13/20
Phillies	R	#138% 55/146	24% 35/146	31% 45/146	29% 43/146	31% 45/146	#233% 48/146	#332% 46/146	24% 35/146	30% 32/105	55% 12/22
Phillies	RA	26% 38/146	24% 35/146	#132% 46/146	19% 28/146	#228% 41/146	25% 36/146	#327% 40/146	23% 34/146	27% 32/120	45% 10/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.