Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-1301:15Busch Stadium

Reds

Away

1-6

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	4	1
Cardinals	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	2	X	6	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Cardinals scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.4

Reds scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 10%

Cardinals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Inn.6

Reds scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cardinals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Cardinals defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Cardinals offense × Reds defense

18%R 20% · RA 15%

Sample 20Combined vs league +2pp

Last 20 57% · Season 62% · -4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

40%

-14pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-1pp

7–9 Late

44%

-6pp

F5 first five

46%

-8pp

F9 full game

46%

-7pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

147 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 646Runs Allowed 626

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

145 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 594Runs Allowed 659

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	26% 38/147	25% 37/147	#231% 46/147	#327% 40/147	#133% 48/147	24% 35/147	23% 34/147	18% 27/147	24% 27/114	40% 4/10
Reds	RA	24% 36/147	20% 30/147	#230% 44/147	24% 35/147	#329% 43/147	#131% 46/147	29% 43/147	22% 33/147	25% 29/115	70% 7/10
Cardinals	R	22% 32/145	26% 37/145	#134% 49/145	25% 36/145	#227% 39/145	25% 36/145	26% 38/145	#327% 39/145	25% 28/111	68% 15/22
Cardinals	RA	26% 37/145	27% 39/145	27% 39/145	21% 31/145	#135% 51/145	#230% 43/145	#328% 40/145	21% 30/145	20% 23/114	59% 13/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.