Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-1207:45Busch Stadium

Reds

Away

1-2

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	0
Cardinals	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	X	2	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Reds scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Cardinals scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.6

Reds scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cardinals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Inn.9

Reds scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 18%

Opponent allowing 18%

Cardinals scoring tendency

29%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 29%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Cardinals defense

45%R 40% · RA 50%

Cardinals offense × Reds defense

18%R 20% · RA 15%

Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp

Last 20 62% · Season 62% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

42%

-12pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-1pp

7–9 Late

46%

-5pp

F5 first five

47%

-7pp

F9 full game

47%

-6pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

146 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 645Runs Allowed 624

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

144 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 592Runs Allowed 658

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	26% 38/146	25% 37/146	#232% 46/146	#327% 39/146	#133% 48/146	24% 35/146	23% 34/146	18% 27/146	24% 27/113	40% 4/10
Reds	RA	25% 36/146	21% 30/146	#230% 44/146	23% 34/146	#329% 43/146	#132% 46/146	29% 43/146	22% 32/146	25% 29/115	70% 7/10
Cardinals	R	22% 32/144	26% 37/144	#134% 49/144	24% 35/144	#227% 39/144	25% 36/144	#326% 38/144	26% 38/144	25% 28/111	68% 15/22
Cardinals	RA	26% 37/144	27% 39/144	27% 39/144	21% 30/144	#135% 51/144	#230% 43/144	#328% 40/144	21% 30/144	20% 23/113	59% 13/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.