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Final
2024-09-0901:35Truist Park
3-4
Braves
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Team1234567891011RHE
Blue Jays00000002001382
Braves01000000102X481

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#2
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 56%
Opponent allowing 17%
Braves scoring tendency
21%
Own scoring 7%
Opponent allowing 36%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Braves scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Braves defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Braves offense × Blue Jays defense
28%R 40% · RA 15%
Sample 20Combined vs league +5pp
Last 20 60% · Season 60% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
46%
-9pp
7–9 Late
48%
-3pp
F5 first five
46%
-8pp
F9 full game
48%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

143 games
031629312487731815927970353524659958083652607548484871991010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 608Runs Allowed 661

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

142 games
0265278104786416750272633617446161559736665678354843389161010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 606Runs Allowed 543
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR27% 38/14327% 38/143#231% 44/14325% 36/14322% 32/143#133% 47/14225% 35/14221% 30/142#327% 30/11255% 6/11
RA29% 41/14322% 31/14327% 39/14322% 32/143#233% 47/143#332% 46/14223% 32/14232% 45/142#136% 40/11155% 6/11
BravesR#230% 42/14225% 35/142#327% 39/14223% 33/14224% 34/14225% 35/14223% 33/142#133% 47/14222% 24/10865% 13/20
RA24% 34/14220% 28/142#325% 35/14223% 33/14225% 35/142#129% 41/142#227% 38/14221% 30/14221% 23/11240% 8/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.