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Final
2024-09-0807:20Truist Park
9-5
Braves
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays0103200039171
Braves0000100045102

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Braves scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Braves scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 56%
Opponent allowing 12%
Braves scoring tendency
14%
Own scoring 0%
Opponent allowing 29%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Braves defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Braves offense × Blue Jays defense
28%R 40% · RA 15%
Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 62% · Season 60% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
46%
-9pp
7–9 Late
45%
-6pp
F5 first five
45%
-9pp
F9 full game
47%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

142 games
030619212387731805927970350524639858083652607548484567991010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 599Runs Allowed 656

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games
0265278104786416749272633617146059559736665678354839359161010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 601Runs Allowed 534
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR#327% 38/14226% 37/142#231% 44/14225% 35/14222% 31/142#133% 47/14125% 35/14121% 30/14126% 29/11155% 6/11
RA29% 41/14222% 31/14227% 39/14223% 32/142#332% 46/142#233% 46/14123% 32/14132% 45/141#135% 39/11055% 6/11
BravesR#230% 42/14125% 35/141#328% 39/14123% 33/14123% 33/14125% 35/14123% 33/141#133% 47/14121% 23/10765% 13/20
RA24% 34/14119% 27/141#325% 35/14123% 32/14124% 34/141#129% 41/141#227% 38/14121% 30/14120% 22/11140% 8/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.