Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-0804:10Citi Field

Reds

Away

0-4

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	X	4	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.4

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.1

Reds scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Mets defense

25%R 15% · RA 35%

Mets offense × Reds defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp

Last 20 65% · Season 60% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+2pp

7–9 Late

48%

-3pp

F5 first five

58%

+4pp

F9 full game

54%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

142 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 638Runs Allowed 619

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 676Runs Allowed 620

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	27% 38/142	25% 36/142	#232% 46/142	#327% 39/142	#133% 47/142	25% 35/142	23% 33/142	19% 27/142	24% 26/109	40% 4/10
Reds	RA	25% 36/142	21% 30/142	#131% 44/142	24% 34/142	#330% 43/142	#231% 44/142	30% 43/142	23% 32/142	26% 29/112	70% 7/10
Mets	R	24% 34/141	28% 39/141	28% 40/141	#329% 41/141	#133% 46/141	28% 39/141	18% 25/141	27% 38/141	#229% 33/112	45% 9/20
Mets	RA	21% 30/141	#330% 42/141	28% 39/141	20% 28/141	#133% 47/141	28% 40/141	23% 33/141	28% 39/141	#230% 34/113	65% 13/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.