Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-0802:20Wrigley Field

Yankees

Away

2-0

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Yankees	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	4	0
Cubs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Yankees scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.5

Yankees scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.4

Yankees scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Yankees offense × Cubs defense

30%R 25% · RA 35%

Cubs offense × Yankees defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 65% · Season 54% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

49%

-5pp

7–9 Late

54%

+3pp

F5 first five

58%

+4pp

F9 full game

54%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Yankees — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 717Runs Allowed 596

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 641Runs Allowed 587

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Yankees	R	#138% 53/141	#332% 45/141	28% 40/141	27% 38/141	#235% 50/141	28% 39/141	29% 41/141	26% 37/140	26% 28/106	63% 12/19
Yankees	RA	#328% 39/141	24% 34/141	#228% 40/141	23% 32/141	26% 37/141	24% 34/141	#129% 41/141	26% 36/141	22% 26/117	63% 12/19
Cubs	R	23% 33/141	27% 38/141	#328% 39/141	24% 34/141	27% 38/141	#129% 41/141	25% 35/141	24% 34/141	#229% 32/111	67% 8/12
Cubs	RA	21% 29/141	26% 36/141	23% 33/141	#129% 41/141	#228% 40/141	19% 27/141	19% 27/141	#327% 38/141	24% 26/110	42% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.