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Final
2024-09-0707:20Truist Park
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Braves
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Blue Jays001000000170
Braves03000000X372

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Braves scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Braves scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 62%
Opponent allowing 12%
Braves scoring tendency
17%
Own scoring 0%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Braves defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Braves offense × Blue Jays defense
28%R 40% · RA 15%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 68% · Season 60% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-5pp
7–9 Late
48%
-3pp
F5 first five
45%
-9pp
F9 full game
49%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games
030619212387731805627870350524639858083652607548484567991010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 598Runs Allowed 653

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games
0265278104786416449272623617146059559736665678354839359161010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 598Runs Allowed 533
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR#327% 38/14126% 37/141#230% 43/14125% 35/14122% 31/141#134% 47/14025% 35/14021% 30/14026% 29/11055% 6/11
RA29% 41/14121% 30/14128% 39/14123% 32/141#333% 46/141#233% 46/14023% 32/14032% 45/140#135% 39/11055% 6/11
BravesR#230% 42/14024% 34/140#328% 39/14024% 33/14024% 33/14025% 35/14024% 33/140#134% 47/14021% 23/10765% 13/20
RA#324% 34/14019% 27/14024% 34/14023% 32/14024% 34/140#129% 41/140#227% 38/14021% 30/14020% 22/11040% 8/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.