Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-0707:10Citi Field

Reds

Away

4-6

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	3	0
Mets	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2X	6	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.4

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mets scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.9

Reds scoring tendency

17%

Own scoring 12%

Opponent allowing 22%

Mets scoring tendency

44%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 47%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Mets defense

25%R 15% · RA 35%

Mets offense × Reds defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 68% · Season 60% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+5pp

7–9 Late

47%

-4pp

F5 first five

60%

+5pp

F9 full game

54%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 634Runs Allowed 613

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 670Runs Allowed 616

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	#327% 38/141	26% 36/141	#233% 46/141	27% 38/141	#133% 47/141	25% 35/141	23% 32/141	19% 27/141	24% 26/108	44% 4/9
Reds	RA	25% 35/141	21% 30/141	#131% 44/141	24% 34/141	#230% 43/141	#330% 43/141	30% 43/141	23% 32/141	26% 29/111	67% 6/9
Mets	R	24% 33/140	28% 39/140	29% 40/140	#329% 41/140	#133% 46/140	27% 38/140	18% 25/140	27% 38/140	#230% 33/111	42% 8/19
Mets	RA	21% 30/140	#330% 42/140	28% 39/140	19% 27/140	#134% 47/140	29% 40/140	23% 32/140	28% 39/140	#230% 34/112	68% 13/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.