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2024-09-0507:40Wrigley Field
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Pirates scoring tendency
44%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 44%
Cubs scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 27%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#2
Inn.5
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.4
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
44%R 44% · RA 44%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
31%R 35% · RA 27%
Sample 15Combined vs league +25pp
Last 20 75% · Season 57% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-1pp
7–9 Late
57%
+6pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
54%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
0285785114486915643254713637049189580746615375466851579243310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 582Runs Allowed 625

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games
027548110964501766626660360874807857454679537528386345915810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 629Runs Allowed 584
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR20% 28/13820% 28/13821% 29/13827% 37/138#229% 40/138#329% 40/13824% 33/13822% 31/138#129% 33/11368% 15/22
RA26% 36/13818% 25/13828% 38/13825% 35/138#136% 49/138#329% 40/13820% 28/13824% 33/138#232% 35/10864% 14/22
CubsR23% 32/13927% 37/139#327% 38/13924% 34/13927% 37/139#229% 40/13925% 35/13924% 33/139#129% 32/11067% 8/12
RA21% 29/13926% 36/13923% 32/139#129% 41/139#229% 40/13919% 27/13919% 27/139#327% 38/13924% 26/10842% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.