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Final
2024-09-0507:10Citi Field
3-8
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Red Sox003000000391
Mets40000004X870

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Red Sox scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 22%
Opponent allowing 22%
Mets scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.3
Red Sox scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.4
Red Sox scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Mets defense
22%R 22% · RA 22%
Mets offense × Red Sox defense
45%R 40% · RA 50%
Sample 14Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 67% · Season 53% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+0pp
7–9 Late
54%
+3pp
F5 first five
54%
-0pp
F9 full game
54%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games
0285684113786317154267643877547982590866509077468839449263510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 661Runs Allowed 661

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games
03163951275451171642727438259410174582736435677879858509213310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 662Runs Allowed 613
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#333% 46/13927% 38/13928% 39/139#136% 50/13931% 43/139#236% 50/13921% 29/13930% 42/13920% 23/11364% 16/25
RA27% 38/13924% 33/13924% 34/139#229% 41/13924% 34/139#329% 41/139#135% 49/13926% 36/13925% 28/11264% 16/25
MetsR23% 32/13928% 39/13929% 40/139#329% 41/139#133% 46/13927% 38/13918% 25/13927% 37/139#230% 33/11142% 8/19
RA22% 30/139#330% 42/13927% 38/13919% 27/139#134% 47/13929% 40/13923% 32/13928% 39/139#231% 34/11168% 13/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.