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Final
2024-09-0407:40Wrigley Field
5-0
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Pirates scoring tendency
47%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 44%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +29pp
#2
Inn.5
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.4
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
47%R 50% · RA 44%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
32%R 35% · RA 29%
Sample 14Combined vs league +29pp
Last 20 79% · Season 58% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+0pp
7–9 Late
59%
+8pp
F5 first five
56%
+1pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
0285785114486915643252713637049189580746585375466851579243310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 577Runs Allowed 625

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
027548110964501766626658360874807857454679507528386345915810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 629Runs Allowed 579
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR20% 28/13720% 28/13720% 28/13727% 37/137#229% 40/137#329% 40/13723% 32/13723% 31/137#129% 33/11268% 15/22
RA26% 36/13718% 25/13728% 38/13726% 35/137#136% 49/137#329% 40/13720% 28/13724% 33/137#233% 35/10764% 14/22
CubsR23% 32/13827% 37/138#328% 38/13825% 34/13827% 37/138#229% 40/13825% 35/13824% 33/138#129% 32/10967% 8/12
RA21% 29/13826% 36/13822% 31/138#130% 41/138#229% 40/13820% 27/13819% 26/138#328% 38/13824% 26/10742% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.