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Final
2024-09-0407:10Citi Field
2-7
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Red Sox000010010260
Mets00200014X770

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Red Sox scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 24%
Opponent allowing 22%
Mets scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 47%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Mets defense
23%R 24% · RA 22%
Mets offense × Red Sox defense
42%R 38% · RA 47%
Sample 15Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 65% · Season 53% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+2pp
7–9 Late
49%
-2pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
54%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
0285684113786317154267623877547882590866508977364839449263510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 659Runs Allowed 654

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
03163951275451171642707438259410173582736425677478858509213310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 655Runs Allowed 611
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#333% 46/13828% 38/13828% 39/138#136% 50/13830% 42/138#236% 50/13821% 29/13830% 41/13821% 23/11264% 16/25
RA28% 38/13824% 33/13824% 33/138#230% 41/13825% 34/138#330% 41/138#135% 48/13825% 35/13825% 28/11264% 16/25
MetsR23% 32/13828% 39/13828% 39/138#330% 41/138#133% 46/13828% 38/13817% 24/13826% 36/138#230% 33/11142% 8/19
RA22% 30/138#330% 42/13828% 38/13820% 27/138#133% 46/13829% 40/13823% 32/13828% 38/138#231% 34/11068% 13/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.