Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-0307:40Wrigley Field

Pirates

Away

5-3

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Pirates	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1	5	8	0
Cubs	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	6	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Pirates scoring tendency

41%

Own scoring 44%

Opponent allowing 38%

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 29%

Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp

Inn.5

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.4

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense

41%R 44% · RA 38%

Cubs offense × Pirates defense

32%R 35% · RA 29%

Sample 14Combined vs league +23pp

Last 20 73% · Season 58% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

55%

+0pp

7–9 Late

57%

+6pp

F5 first five

57%

+3pp

F9 full game

55%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 572Runs Allowed 622

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 626Runs Allowed 574

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Pirates	R	21% 28/136	21% 28/136	21% 28/136	27% 37/136	#129% 40/136	#229% 40/136	24% 32/136	22% 30/136	#329% 32/111	68% 15/22
Pirates	RA	26% 36/136	18% 25/136	27% 37/136	26% 35/136	#135% 48/136	#329% 40/136	21% 28/136	24% 33/136	#233% 35/106	64% 14/22
Cubs	R	23% 32/137	#327% 37/137	27% 37/137	25% 34/137	26% 36/137	#229% 40/137	26% 35/137	24% 33/137	#130% 32/108	67% 8/12
Cubs	RA	21% 29/137	26% 36/137	23% 31/137	#130% 41/137	#229% 40/137	20% 27/137	19% 26/137	#327% 37/137	24% 25/106	42% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.