Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-0304:10Great American Ball Park

Astros

Away

3-5

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	6	0
Reds	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	X	5	13	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Astros scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.4

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 5%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Reds defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Reds offense × Astros defense

30%R 40% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 70% · Season 60% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

47%

-7pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+4pp

7–9 Late

46%

-5pp

F5 first five

50%

-4pp

F9 full game

51%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 628Runs Allowed 539

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 616Runs Allowed 605

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#329% 40/137	20% 28/137	29% 40/137	#136% 49/137	26% 35/137	#233% 45/137	25% 34/137	26% 35/137	18% 19/104	53% 8/15
Astros	RA	#228% 39/137	23% 31/137	22% 30/137	19% 26/137	#327% 37/137	#131% 42/137	20% 27/137	26% 35/137	24% 27/112	73% 11/15
Reds	R	26% 36/138	26% 36/138	#133% 45/138	#328% 38/138	#233% 45/138	25% 35/138	22% 31/138	20% 27/138	24% 26/108	44% 4/9
Reds	RA	25% 35/138	21% 29/138	#131% 43/138	25% 34/138	#231% 43/138	#330% 42/138	30% 41/138	23% 32/138	27% 29/108	67% 6/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.