Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-09-0202:10

Royals

Away

2-7

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	7	0
Astros	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	3	X	7	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Royals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.3

Royals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.8

Royals scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 30%

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Astros defense

32%R 45% · RA 20%

Astros offense × Royals defense

38%R 45% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 70% · Season 62% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

47%

-8pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+2pp

7–9 Late

52%

+1pp

F5 first five

48%

-6pp

F9 full game

52%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 661Runs Allowed 563

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 621Runs Allowed 537

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	#229% 40/137	26% 36/137	26% 35/137	28% 38/137	28% 38/137	#137% 50/136	#329% 39/136	24% 33/136	27% 27/100	86% 6/7
Royals	RA	23% 32/137	21% 29/137	25% 34/137	#131% 42/137	19% 26/137	25% 34/136	#230% 41/136	#329% 39/136	24% 25/106	71% 5/7
Astros	R	#329% 40/136	21% 28/136	29% 40/136	#135% 48/136	26% 35/136	#232% 44/136	25% 34/136	25% 34/136	18% 19/104	53% 8/15
Astros	RA	#229% 39/136	23% 31/136	22% 30/136	19% 26/136	#327% 37/136	#130% 41/136	19% 26/136	26% 35/136	24% 27/111	73% 11/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.