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Final
2024-09-0104:10Tropicana Field
Padres
Away
4-11
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.5
Padres scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Rays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Rays defense
40%R 55% · RA 25%
Rays offense × Padres defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 75% · Season 50% · +25pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-6pp
7–9 Late
58%
+7pp
F5 first five
54%
-0pp
F9 full game
53%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
029588711778761687025262369814935057363680487866384062917810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.82.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 656Runs Allowed 583

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

134 games
0285785114636715945258583386944891558666676775358850469191710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 513Runs Allowed 584
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR28% 39/13726% 36/13723% 31/13726% 35/137#133% 45/13726% 35/137#329% 40/137#231% 42/13720% 22/10889% 8/9
RA#132% 44/13726% 35/13723% 31/137#231% 43/13718% 24/13723% 32/13724% 33/13725% 34/137#328% 32/11433% 3/9
RaysR#328% 38/13426% 35/134#229% 39/13417% 23/13419% 25/13425% 33/13426% 35/13425% 33/134#132% 34/10765% 15/23
RA#230% 40/13422% 29/13425% 34/134#330% 40/134#131% 42/13428% 38/13426% 35/13421% 28/13424% 25/10661% 14/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.