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Final
2024-09-0104:05Nationals Park
Cubs
Away
5-3
Nationals
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Cubs000040100570
Nationals0101100003102

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 31%
Nationals scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 38%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.1
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.2
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Nationals defense
32%R 33% · RA 31%
Nationals offense × Cubs defense
41%R 44% · RA 38%
Sample 15Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 73% · Season 54% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-2pp
7–9 Late
58%
+7pp
F5 first five
57%
+2pp
F9 full game
56%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

135 games
027548110864501766426258359864747757454675507527985644915810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 607Runs Allowed 570

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

135 games
03163951275062157101275653735746570559796614875172861479193010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 571Runs Allowed 631
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR24% 32/135#327% 37/13527% 36/13524% 33/13526% 35/135#130% 40/13524% 33/13524% 33/135#229% 31/10667% 8/12
RA21% 29/13525% 34/13523% 31/135#130% 40/135#229% 39/13520% 27/13519% 26/135#327% 37/13524% 25/10442% 5/12
NationalsR19% 26/13524% 33/135#230% 41/13527% 36/135#329% 39/13525% 34/13525% 34/13524% 32/135#131% 33/10659% 10/17
RA24% 33/135#136% 48/13528% 38/13523% 31/13528% 38/135#330% 40/13522% 30/135#230% 41/13523% 24/10571% 12/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.