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Final
2024-08-3002:15Busch Stadium
Padres
Away
1-4
Cardinals
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Padres000010000131
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Padres scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cardinals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Heating upCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.9
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cardinals scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 47%
Heating upCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cardinals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cardinals defense
48%R 60% · RA 35%
Cardinals offense × Padres defense
22%R 30% · RA 15%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 70% · Season 50% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-7pp
7–9 Late
62%
+11pp
F5 first five
54%
+0pp
F9 full game
55%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

135 games
028578611575761646625160367814925057362680487866183762917810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.82.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 642Runs Allowed 574

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

133 games
035711071436469155662727235449463114555736646976141839329182010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 545Runs Allowed 605
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR28% 38/13526% 35/13522% 30/13525% 34/135#133% 44/13526% 35/135#330% 40/135#231% 42/13520% 21/10689% 8/9
RA#133% 44/13525% 34/13522% 30/135#232% 43/13518% 24/13523% 31/13524% 33/13524% 32/135#328% 32/11333% 3/9
CardinalsR23% 30/13326% 35/133#134% 45/13325% 33/133#228% 37/13325% 33/133#327% 36/13326% 34/13326% 27/10267% 12/18
RA26% 35/13326% 35/13328% 37/13322% 29/133#134% 45/133#230% 40/133#329% 39/13320% 27/13320% 21/10467% 12/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.