Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-08-2806:40PNC Park

Cubs

Away

9-5

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	0	5	4	0	0	0	0	9	7	0
Pirates	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	5	10	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Cubs scoring tendency

36%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 43%

Pirates scoring tendency

44%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 38%

Sustained highCombined vs league +30pp

Inn.5

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Pirates scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.1

Cubs scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 50%

Pirates scoring tendency

15%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 15%

Heating upCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Pirates defense

36%R 29% · RA 43%

Pirates offense × Cubs defense

44%R 50% · RA 38%

Sample 14Combined vs league +30pp

Last 20 79% · Season 57% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

54%

+0pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-2pp

7–9 Late

55%

+4pp

F5 first five

57%

+2pp

F9 full game

54%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

132 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 577Runs Allowed 549

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 545Runs Allowed 583

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	23% 31/132	27% 35/132	#327% 36/132	24% 32/132	26% 34/132	#130% 40/132	24% 32/132	24% 32/132	#229% 30/103	67% 8/12
Cubs	RA	20% 26/132	25% 33/132	23% 30/132	#130% 39/132	#229% 38/132	20% 26/132	20% 26/132	#328% 37/132	23% 23/101	42% 5/12
Pirates	R	20% 26/131	21% 27/131	21% 28/131	27% 35/131	#129% 38/131	#229% 38/131	24% 31/131	22% 29/131	#328% 30/106	68% 15/22
Pirates	RA	25% 33/131	18% 24/131	28% 37/131	24% 32/131	#135% 46/131	#330% 39/131	20% 26/131	24% 31/131	#233% 34/103	64% 14/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.