Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-08-2709:40T-Mobile Park

Rays

Away

1-5

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	1
Mariners	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	X	5	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.1

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.8

Rays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mariners scoring tendency

15%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 15%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Mariners defense

28%R 25% · RA 30%

Mariners offense × Rays defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 70% · Season 50% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

43%

-11pp

4–6 Middle

50%

-5pp

7–9 Late

44%

-7pp

F5 first five

48%

-6pp

F9 full game

46%

-7pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

130 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 502Runs Allowed 558

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 516Runs Allowed 501

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	#329% 38/130	25% 32/130	#230% 39/130	18% 23/130	19% 25/130	25% 32/130	26% 34/130	24% 31/130	#133% 34/103	65% 15/23
Rays	RA	#230% 39/130	20% 26/130	25% 32/130	#329% 38/130	#132% 41/130	28% 37/130	27% 35/130	20% 26/130	23% 24/104	61% 14/23
Mariners	R	#227% 36/131	25% 33/131	19% 25/131	#128% 37/131	#327% 36/131	21% 28/131	27% 35/131	20% 26/131	21% 21/101	67% 10/15
Mariners	RA	21% 28/131	19% 25/131	21% 28/131	#229% 38/131	21% 28/131	24% 32/131	#329% 38/131	#134% 44/131	15% 15/100	60% 9/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.