Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-08-2706:40Citizens Bank Park

Astros

Away

2-3

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8	2
Phillies	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1X	3	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Astros scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 40%

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Phillies scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.8

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Phillies scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Phillies defense

48%R 55% · RA 40%

Phillies offense × Astros defense

32%R 45% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp

Last 20 80% · Season 59% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

51%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+4pp

7–9 Late

53%

+2pp

F5 first five

50%

-5pp

F9 full game

54%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

130 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 595Runs Allowed 522

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

130 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 638Runs Allowed 524

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#330% 39/130	22% 28/130	30% 39/130	#135% 46/130	26% 34/130	#233% 43/130	25% 33/130	24% 31/130	18% 18/100	57% 8/14
Astros	RA	#230% 39/130	24% 31/130	22% 29/130	20% 26/130	#328% 36/130	#131% 40/130	18% 23/130	26% 34/130	25% 26/106	71% 10/14
Phillies	R	#137% 48/130	25% 32/130	31% 40/130	#332% 41/130	#232% 42/130	31% 40/130	32% 41/130	25% 33/130	29% 27/94	53% 10/19
Phillies	RA	25% 33/130	24% 31/130	#131% 40/130	17% 22/130	#230% 39/130	23% 30/130	#328% 36/130	25% 32/130	27% 29/106	53% 10/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.