Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-08-2604:10Petco Park

Mets

Away

2-3

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	7	0
Padres	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1X	3	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Mets scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Padres scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.2

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Padres scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Padres scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Padres defense

25%R 35% · RA 15%

Padres offense × Mets defense

48%R 50% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 72% · Season 60% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+4pp

7–9 Late

54%

+3pp

F5 first five

60%

+6pp

F9 full game

56%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

130 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 621Runs Allowed 590

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 622Runs Allowed 559

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	24% 31/130	27% 35/130	28% 36/130	#229% 38/130	#134% 44/130	27% 35/130	18% 23/130	28% 36/130	#329% 30/104	42% 8/19
Mets	RA	22% 29/130	#331% 40/130	26% 34/130	20% 26/130	#135% 46/130	31% 40/130	24% 31/130	28% 36/130	#231% 32/103	68% 13/19
Padres	R	27% 36/131	26% 34/131	22% 29/131	26% 34/131	#133% 43/131	27% 35/131	#330% 39/131	#231% 40/131	19% 19/102	89% 8/9
Padres	RA	#133% 43/131	25% 33/131	23% 30/131	#231% 40/131	18% 23/131	24% 31/131	24% 31/131	24% 32/131	#328% 30/109	33% 3/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.