Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-08-2504:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Astros

Away

2-3

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	6	1
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	X	3	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp

Inn.6

Astros scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Orioles defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Orioles offense × Astros defense

40%R 40% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp

Last 20 75% · Season 53% · +22pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

51%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-1pp

7–9 Late

56%

+5pp

F5 first five

50%

-5pp

F9 full game

54%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

128 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 587Runs Allowed 516

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

130 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 652Runs Allowed 564

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	30% 38/128	22% 28/128	#330% 39/128	#135% 45/128	27% 34/128	#233% 42/128	25% 32/128	23% 30/128	18% 18/98	57% 8/14
Astros	RA	#130% 39/128	24% 31/128	23% 29/128	20% 26/128	#327% 35/128	#230% 39/128	18% 23/128	27% 34/128	25% 26/105	71% 10/14
Orioles	R	28% 37/130	#233% 43/130	#139% 51/130	30% 39/130	28% 37/130	22% 29/130	#333% 43/130	33% 43/130	24% 24/98	57% 8/14
Orioles	RA	24% 31/130	#133% 43/130	26% 34/130	24% 31/130	#327% 35/130	27% 35/130	26% 34/130	23% 30/130	#228% 31/109	71% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.