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Final
2024-08-2408:10Kauffman Stadium
4-7
Royals
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Phillies0011000204111
Royals10501000X7122

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Phillies scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Royals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#2
Inn.7
Phillies scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Royals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.4
Phillies scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Royals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Royals defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Royals offense × Phillies defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp
Last 20 80% · Season 57% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+7pp
7–9 Late
56%
+6pp
F5 first five
55%
+0pp
F9 full game
58%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games
0275481109864515958261593874047063581596656374962842499121410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 612Runs Allowed 512

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games
02754811086258158532634936765467385865268480761558615099810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 618Runs Allowed 508
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#138% 48/12725% 32/12729% 37/12731% 39/127#232% 41/12730% 38/127#332% 41/12724% 30/12729% 26/9153% 10/19
RA25% 32/12724% 31/127#130% 38/12717% 22/127#228% 36/12723% 29/12728% 35/12725% 32/127#328% 29/10453% 10/19
RoyalsR#230% 38/12727% 34/12724% 31/127#328% 36/12727% 34/127#137% 47/12628% 35/12625% 31/12627% 25/9186% 6/7
RA24% 30/12722% 28/12724% 30/127#230% 38/12718% 23/12725% 31/126#131% 39/126#326% 33/12623% 23/9971% 5/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.