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Final
2024-08-2407:20Truist Park
2-3
Braves
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Nationals00020000002101
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Braves scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Braves scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Braves defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Braves offense × Nationals defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 75% · Season 57% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+2pp
7–9 Late
52%
+2pp
F5 first five
56%
+1pp
F9 full game
56%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

128 games
0295887117456015293274653685646568558746574775069857469192910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 545Runs Allowed 607

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games
025517710367621564426561358684575755165659447825283933911710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 545Runs Allowed 493
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR18% 23/12823% 30/128#131% 40/12826% 33/128#330% 39/12826% 33/12825% 32/12824% 31/128#231% 31/10162% 10/16
RA24% 31/128#136% 46/128#230% 38/12823% 30/12828% 36/12829% 37/12823% 29/128#330% 38/12823% 23/9969% 11/16
BravesR#229% 37/12724% 31/127#328% 35/12724% 31/12724% 31/12723% 29/12723% 29/127#136% 46/12724% 23/9769% 11/16
RA25% 32/12719% 24/127#226% 33/12724% 30/127#326% 33/127#128% 36/12724% 31/12722% 28/12720% 20/9938% 6/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.