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Final
2024-08-2309:40Petco Park
Mets
Away
8-3
Padres
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Mets1002000058170
Padres000010002370

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +28pp
#2
Inn.5
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.4
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Padres defense
38%R 50% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Mets defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +28pp
Last 20 80% · Season 55% · +25pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+3pp
7–9 Late
51%
-0pp
F5 first five
61%
+6pp
F9 full game
56%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games
0285785114494916659265663725849171579736405377371850469213310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 606Runs Allowed 579

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

128 games
027548110970721576524760367704874757362678457826083355917810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.82.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 611Runs Allowed 544
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR23% 29/12728% 35/127#328% 36/12728% 36/127#135% 44/12728% 35/12717% 22/12728% 35/127#229% 29/10142% 8/19
RA22% 28/127#331% 39/12726% 33/12720% 26/127#135% 44/127#231% 40/12724% 31/12728% 35/12731% 31/10168% 13/19
PadresR27% 35/12826% 33/12822% 28/12827% 34/128#132% 41/12827% 35/128#230% 39/128#330% 39/12818% 18/10089% 8/9
RA#132% 41/12826% 33/12823% 30/128#230% 38/12818% 23/12824% 31/12823% 30/12824% 31/128#327% 29/10633% 3/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.