Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-08-2307:08Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Astros

Away

6-0

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	0	2	0	4	0	0	0	6	8	0
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp

Inn.6

Astros scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Orioles defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Orioles offense × Astros defense

40%R 40% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp

Last 20 75% · Season 53% · +22pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+3pp

7–9 Late

58%

+7pp

F5 first five

54%

-0pp

F9 full game

57%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

126 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 576Runs Allowed 509

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

128 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 645Runs Allowed 553

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#330% 38/126	22% 28/126	30% 38/126	#135% 44/126	27% 34/126	#232% 40/126	25% 32/126	24% 30/126	19% 18/96	57% 8/14
Astros	RA	#131% 39/126	24% 30/126	22% 28/126	21% 26/126	#328% 35/126	#231% 39/126	18% 23/126	26% 33/126	25% 26/104	71% 10/14
Orioles	R	29% 37/128	#333% 42/128	#139% 50/128	30% 39/128	29% 37/128	23% 29/128	#234% 43/128	33% 42/128	25% 24/97	57% 8/14
Orioles	RA	24% 31/128	#134% 43/128	26% 33/128	23% 30/128	#327% 35/128	26% 33/128	27% 34/128	23% 30/128	#229% 31/107	71% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.