Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-08-2201:10Citi Field

Orioles

Away

3-4

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	3	3	0
Mets	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	1X	4	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Orioles scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.2

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.1

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Mets defense

45%R 45% · RA 45%

Mets offense × Orioles defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 75% · Season 62% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+7pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+7pp

7–9 Late

47%

-3pp

F5 first five

64%

+9pp

F9 full game

57%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

127 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 642Runs Allowed 549

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

126 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 602Runs Allowed 576

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	29% 37/127	#333% 42/127	#139% 50/127	31% 39/127	29% 37/127	22% 28/127	#234% 43/127	32% 41/127	25% 24/96	57% 8/14
Orioles	RA	24% 31/127	#134% 43/127	25% 32/127	24% 30/127	#327% 34/127	26% 33/127	26% 33/127	24% 30/127	#228% 30/106	71% 10/14
Mets	R	23% 29/126	28% 35/126	28% 35/126	#229% 36/126	#134% 43/126	28% 35/126	17% 21/126	28% 35/126	#328% 28/100	42% 8/19
Mets	RA	22% 28/126	#331% 39/126	26% 33/126	21% 26/126	#135% 44/126	31% 39/126	25% 31/126	27% 34/126	#231% 31/100	68% 13/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.