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Final
2024-08-2107:10Citi Field
9-5
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Orioles2103100029111
Mets001000040552

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Orioles scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.1
Orioles scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.2
Orioles scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Mets defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Mets offense × Orioles defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 72% · Season 62% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+7pp
7–9 Late
48%
-2pp
F5 first five
62%
+8pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

126 games
0275481109694917374287543655646864555806806477745843469161210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 633Runs Allowed 544

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

125 games
0285684113494716658263663725549070579716395376970849449213310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 597Runs Allowed 567
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR29% 36/126#333% 41/126#140% 50/12630% 38/12629% 36/12622% 28/126#234% 43/12633% 41/12624% 23/9557% 8/14
RA25% 31/126#134% 43/12625% 31/12624% 30/126#327% 34/12626% 33/12626% 33/12623% 29/126#229% 30/10571% 10/14
MetsR23% 29/12528% 35/12527% 34/125#229% 36/125#134% 43/12528% 35/12517% 21/12527% 34/125#328% 28/9942% 8/19
RA22% 27/125#330% 38/12526% 33/12520% 25/125#134% 43/125#231% 39/12525% 31/12527% 34/12530% 30/9968% 13/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.