Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-08-2007:10Citi Field

Orioles

Away

3-4

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	3	6	0
Mets	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1X	4	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.2

Orioles scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.1

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Mets defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Mets offense × Orioles defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 72% · Season 62% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

60%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+7pp

7–9 Late

50%

-1pp

F5 first five

62%

+8pp

F9 full game

57%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

125 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 630Runs Allowed 540

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

124 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 593Runs Allowed 564

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	29% 36/125	#333% 41/125	#140% 50/125	30% 38/125	28% 35/125	22% 28/125	#234% 42/125	33% 41/125	24% 23/94	57% 8/14
Orioles	RA	24% 30/125	#134% 43/125	25% 31/125	23% 29/125	#327% 34/125	26% 33/125	26% 33/125	23% 29/125	#228% 29/104	71% 10/14
Mets	R	23% 28/124	#228% 35/124	27% 34/124	#328% 35/124	#135% 43/124	28% 35/124	17% 21/124	27% 34/124	28% 27/98	42% 8/19
Mets	RA	22% 27/124	#331% 38/124	27% 33/124	20% 25/124	#134% 42/124	#231% 39/124	24% 30/124	27% 34/124	31% 30/98	68% 13/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.