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Final
2024-08-1902:20Wrigley Field
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Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 55%
Heating upCombined vs league +25pp
#2
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Cubs defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Cubs offense × Blue Jays defense
45%R 35% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp
Last 20 80% · Season 49% · +31pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+2pp
7–9 Late
54%
+3pp
F5 first five
60%
+5pp
F9 full game
58%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

124 games
027558211064671694926766347474548857275650567477483659991010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 515Runs Allowed 591

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

124 games
026527810462431605225553353834627356553666467457383933915810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 522Runs Allowed 517
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR24% 30/12427% 33/124#229% 36/12427% 33/12423% 28/124#133% 41/123#328% 34/12321% 26/12323% 22/9755% 6/11
RA30% 37/12422% 27/12429% 36/12423% 28/124#335% 43/124#235% 43/12324% 30/12332% 39/123#136% 35/9755% 6/11
CubsR24% 30/124#326% 32/12426% 32/12425% 31/12425% 31/124#131% 38/12424% 30/12423% 29/124#227% 26/9767% 8/12
RA20% 25/12423% 29/12422% 27/124#131% 38/124#229% 36/12421% 26/12419% 24/124#328% 35/12422% 21/9442% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.