Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-08-1901:40Great American Ball Park

Royals

Away

8-1

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	4	8	13	0
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Royals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.3

Royals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.6

Royals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 10%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Reds defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Reds offense × Royals defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 68% · Season 48% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

60%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-1pp

7–9 Late

49%

-2pp

F5 first five

56%

+1pp

F9 full game

54%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 597Runs Allowed 495

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 545Runs Allowed 508

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	#231% 38/123	27% 33/123	24% 29/123	#328% 34/123	27% 33/123	#138% 46/122	27% 33/122	25% 31/122	27% 24/89	86% 6/7
Royals	RA	24% 30/123	23% 28/123	24% 30/123	#130% 37/123	19% 23/123	25% 30/122	#230% 36/122	#326% 32/122	23% 22/95	71% 5/7
Reds	R	#327% 33/123	27% 33/123	#135% 43/123	26% 32/123	#233% 40/123	24% 29/123	23% 28/123	20% 24/123	26% 24/93	50% 3/6
Reds	RA	24% 29/123	20% 25/123	29% 36/123	23% 28/123	#131% 38/123	#330% 37/123	#231% 38/123	24% 30/123	23% 22/96	83% 5/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.