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Final
2024-08-1900:05Citi Field
3-2
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Marlins001000110380
Mets000011000290

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.1
Marlins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Mets offense × Marlins defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 72% · Season 54% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+0pp
7–9 Late
39%
-12pp
F5 first five
62%
+8pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games
0306191122748015257238813549744864534626586973056849299162610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 453Runs Allowed 621

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games
0285684112474716658263653715548969578716395076969848449213310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 591Runs Allowed 561
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR24% 30/123#127% 33/12319% 23/12323% 28/12324% 29/12318% 22/123#227% 33/12315% 19/123#326% 28/10857% 13/23
RA#236% 44/12330% 37/12331% 38/123#137% 45/123#333% 40/12327% 33/12326% 32/12324% 30/12317% 15/8657% 13/23
MetsR23% 28/123#228% 35/12328% 34/123#328% 35/123#134% 42/12328% 34/12317% 21/12328% 34/12328% 27/9742% 8/19
RA22% 27/12331% 38/12326% 32/12320% 25/123#134% 42/123#232% 39/12324% 29/12327% 33/123#331% 30/9768% 13/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.