Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-08-1806:05Citizens Bank Park

Nationals

Away

1-5

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0
Phillies	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	X	5	10	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.6

Nationals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Phillies scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.7

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Phillies defense

40%R 30% · RA 50%

Phillies offense × Nationals defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp

Last 20 75% · Season 53% · +22pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+2pp

7–9 Late

61%

+10pp

F5 first five

57%

+3pp

F9 full game

59%

+6pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 523Runs Allowed 591

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

122 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 597Runs Allowed 497

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	19% 23/123	24% 29/123	#131% 38/123	25% 31/123	#231% 38/123	24% 29/123	26% 32/123	24% 29/123	#331% 30/98	62% 10/16
Nationals	RA	24% 29/123	#137% 46/123	#330% 37/123	24% 29/123	29% 36/123	27% 33/123	23% 28/123	#231% 38/123	23% 22/95	69% 11/16
Phillies	R	#138% 46/122	26% 32/122	30% 36/122	30% 37/122	#234% 41/122	29% 35/122	#333% 40/122	24% 29/122	30% 26/87	53% 10/19
Phillies	RA	26% 32/122	25% 30/122	#130% 36/122	16% 19/122	#229% 35/122	21% 26/122	#329% 35/122	25% 30/122	28% 28/101	53% 10/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.