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Final
2024-08-1802:20Wrigley Field
2-3
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 55%
Heating upCombined vs league +30pp
#2
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Cubs defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Blue Jays defense
45%R 35% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +30pp
Last 20 85% · Season 49% · +36pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
65%
+11pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+3pp
7–9 Late
53%
+2pp
F5 first five
62%
+7pp
F9 full game
58%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games
027548110864661694926766347474548657275649567477483559991010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 513Runs Allowed 588

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games
026527810461431605225553353834607356553666457457383932915810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 519Runs Allowed 515
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR24% 30/12327% 33/123#229% 36/12327% 33/12323% 28/123#134% 41/122#327% 33/12221% 26/12222% 21/9655% 6/11
RA29% 36/12322% 27/12329% 36/12323% 28/123#334% 42/123#235% 43/12225% 30/12232% 39/122#136% 35/9755% 6/11
CubsR24% 29/123#326% 32/12326% 32/12325% 31/12324% 30/123#131% 38/12324% 30/12324% 29/123#227% 26/9767% 8/12
RA20% 25/12324% 29/12322% 27/123#131% 38/123#229% 36/12321% 26/12319% 23/123#328% 35/12322% 20/9342% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.