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Final
2024-08-1707:10Citi Field
3-7
Mets
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Marlins000210000361
Mets10060000X7100

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.2
Marlins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.1
Marlins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Mets offense × Marlins defense
35%R 25% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 65% · Season 52% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-0pp
7–9 Late
42%
-8pp
F5 first five
60%
+5pp
F9 full game
52%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

121 games
0285684113747815256238803529044764534626586973056849299162610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 450Runs Allowed 610

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

121 games
0285684112454716558262653645348968578716395076969848449213310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 580Runs Allowed 558
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR25% 30/121#127% 33/12119% 23/12122% 27/12123% 28/12118% 22/121#227% 33/12116% 19/121#326% 28/10657% 13/23
RA#235% 42/12130% 36/12131% 37/121#136% 43/121#333% 40/12127% 33/12126% 32/12125% 30/12117% 15/8657% 13/23
MetsR21% 26/121#228% 34/12127% 33/12127% 33/121#135% 42/121#328% 34/12117% 21/12128% 34/12128% 27/9742% 8/19
RA22% 27/12131% 38/12126% 32/12120% 24/121#134% 41/121#232% 39/12124% 29/12127% 33/121#332% 30/9568% 13/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.