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Final
2024-08-1702:20Wrigley Field
5-6
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 55%
Heating upCombined vs league +27pp
#2
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Cubs defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Blue Jays defense
43%R 30% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +27pp
Last 20 82% · Season 48% · +34pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
65%
+11pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-1pp
7–9 Late
52%
+1pp
F5 first five
58%
+4pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

122 games
02652781056464169492676634647453845727564955747748325999910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 508Runs Allowed 582

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

122 games
025517710359431605225553353824587256553665457457383929914810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 513Runs Allowed 510
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR25% 30/12227% 33/122#230% 36/12226% 32/12222% 27/122#134% 41/121#327% 33/12121% 26/12121% 20/9560% 6/10
RA29% 35/12222% 27/12230% 36/12223% 28/122#334% 41/122#236% 43/12124% 29/12132% 39/121#136% 35/9650% 5/10
CubsR23% 28/122#326% 32/12226% 32/12225% 31/12224% 29/122#131% 38/12224% 29/12224% 29/122#227% 26/9664% 7/11
RA20% 25/12224% 29/12222% 27/122#130% 37/122#229% 35/12221% 26/12219% 23/122#329% 35/12221% 19/9245% 5/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.