Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-08-1306:40Great American Ball Park

Cardinals

Away

1-6

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cardinals	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	0
Reds	0	0	3	0	3	0	0	0	X	6	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Cardinals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.2

Cardinals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.8

Cardinals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Reds defense

32%R 45% · RA 20%

Reds offense × Cardinals defense

40%R 40% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 73% · Season 63% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

66%

+12pp

4–6 Middle

42%

-13pp

7–9 Late

48%

-3pp

F5 first five

57%

+3pp

F9 full game

52%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

118 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 492Runs Allowed 540

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

118 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 524Runs Allowed 484

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	24% 28/118	#228% 33/118	#135% 41/118	25% 29/118	#328% 33/118	25% 30/118	27% 32/118	25% 30/118	26% 23/89	65% 11/17
Cardinals	RA	25% 30/118	25% 30/118	28% 33/118	25% 29/118	#131% 37/118	#231% 37/118	#331% 36/118	18% 21/118	22% 20/93	71% 12/17
Reds	R	#327% 32/118	27% 32/118	#135% 41/118	27% 32/118	#232% 38/118	23% 27/118	22% 26/118	19% 23/118	26% 24/91	50% 3/6
Reds	RA	24% 28/118	20% 24/118	29% 34/118	22% 26/118	#131% 37/118	#330% 35/118	#231% 37/118	25% 30/118	23% 21/91	83% 5/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.