Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-08-1201:40Tropicana Field

Orioles

Away

1-2

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	9	0
Rays	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	X	2	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Orioles scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 35%

Rays scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.9

Orioles scoring tendency

13%

Own scoring 12%

Opponent allowing 14%

Rays scoring tendency

50%

Own scoring 47%

Opponent allowing 54%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.3

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Rays scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Rays defense

45%R 55% · RA 35%

Rays offense × Orioles defense

25%R 30% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 70% · Season 57% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

60%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-3pp

7–9 Late

57%

+6pp

F5 first five

57%

+3pp

F9 full game

56%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

118 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 602Runs Allowed 508

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 458Runs Allowed 508

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	30% 35/118	#333% 39/118	#141% 48/118	31% 36/118	27% 32/118	21% 25/118	33% 39/118	#234% 40/118	24% 22/90	57% 8/14
Orioles	RA	24% 28/118	#136% 42/118	25% 30/118	22% 26/118	#229% 34/118	26% 31/118	25% 30/118	20% 24/118	#328% 27/98	71% 10/14
Rays	R	#330% 35/116	26% 30/116	#231% 36/116	19% 22/116	18% 21/116	26% 30/116	27% 31/116	22% 25/116	#135% 32/91	67% 12/18
Rays	RA	#230% 35/116	22% 25/116	25% 29/116	#131% 36/116	28% 33/116	#330% 35/116	28% 33/116	21% 24/116	23% 21/93	61% 11/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.