Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-08-1006:50Tropicana Field

Orioles

Away

4-1

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	4	10	0
Rays	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	5	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Rays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.1

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 25%

Rays scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.9

Orioles scoring tendency

17%

Own scoring 19%

Opponent allowing 14%

Rays scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 44%

Opponent allowing 46%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Rays defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Rays offense × Orioles defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp

Last 20 65% · Season 62% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+7pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-4pp

7–9 Late

54%

+3pp

F5 first five

57%

+3pp

F9 full game

55%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 591Runs Allowed 502

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

114 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 452Runs Allowed 497

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	28% 33/116	33% 38/116	#141% 48/116	31% 36/116	27% 31/116	21% 24/116	#234% 39/116	#334% 39/116	25% 22/88	57% 8/14
Orioles	RA	24% 28/116	#136% 42/116	26% 30/116	22% 26/116	#228% 33/116	27% 31/116	25% 29/116	20% 23/116	#327% 26/96	71% 10/14
Rays	R	#331% 35/114	26% 30/114	#232% 36/114	19% 22/114	18% 20/114	26% 30/114	26% 30/114	21% 24/114	#135% 31/89	67% 12/18
Rays	RA	#329% 33/114	21% 24/114	25% 29/114	#132% 36/114	28% 32/114	#230% 34/114	29% 33/114	20% 23/114	23% 21/91	61% 11/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.