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Final
2024-08-0507:10Wrigley Field
2-6
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.8
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 70% · Season 52% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
46%
-9pp
7–9 Late
54%
+3pp
F5 first five
54%
-1pp
F9 full game
54%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

111 games
0295887117555814656261543444545793549606575775232831299142010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 466Runs Allowed 504

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

113 games
02244668852421594924550347704556556151661447396983928914810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 472Runs Allowed 476
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR23% 25/11128% 31/111#133% 37/11125% 28/111#230% 33/11126% 29/111#329% 32/11125% 28/11126% 22/8465% 11/17
RA25% 28/11126% 29/11127% 30/11124% 27/111#132% 35/111#330% 33/111#231% 34/11118% 20/11120% 18/8871% 12/17
CubsR22% 25/113#327% 31/11325% 28/11324% 27/11324% 27/113#132% 36/11325% 28/11322% 25/113#229% 26/9064% 7/11
RA21% 24/11323% 26/11322% 25/113#129% 33/113#327% 31/11321% 24/11319% 22/113#228% 32/11321% 18/8645% 5/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.