Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-08-0407:15Progressive Field

Orioles

Away

7-4

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	4	0	7	15	1
Guardians	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Guardians scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.2

Orioles scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Guardians scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 10%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.4

Orioles scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Guardians scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Guardians defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Guardians offense × Orioles defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 68% · Season 64% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-2pp

7–9 Late

47%

-4pp

F5 first five

58%

+4pp

F9 full game

53%

-0pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

111 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 560Runs Allowed 478

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 509Runs Allowed 417

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	28% 31/111	#234% 38/111	#141% 46/111	31% 34/111	27% 30/111	20% 22/111	#334% 38/111	32% 35/111	25% 21/83	57% 8/14
Orioles	RA	23% 26/111	#137% 41/111	25% 28/111	23% 26/111	#328% 31/111	26% 29/111	26% 29/111	20% 22/111	#228% 26/93	71% 10/14
Guardians	R	#328% 30/109	26% 28/109	#230% 33/109	28% 30/109	#132% 35/109	28% 30/109	24% 26/109	24% 26/109	24% 19/79	82% 9/11
Guardians	RA	#329% 32/109	26% 28/109	#130% 33/109	#230% 33/109	24% 26/109	27% 29/109	17% 18/109	23% 25/109	14% 12/85	55% 6/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.