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Final
2024-08-0402:20Wrigley Field
5-4
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals100000031590
Cubs220000000451

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.9
Cardinals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 13%
Cubs scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 24%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 70% · Season 52% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-6pp
7–9 Late
53%
+2pp
F5 first five
53%
-1pp
F9 full game
53%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

110 games
0295887117545614654261543444545793549606575774932830299142010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 461Runs Allowed 500

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

112 games
02244668850411574924550347704556556151661447396683927914810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 468Runs Allowed 471
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR22% 24/11028% 31/110#134% 37/11025% 28/110#230% 33/11026% 29/110#329% 32/11025% 27/11025% 21/8365% 11/17
RA25% 27/11025% 28/11027% 30/11025% 27/110#132% 35/110#330% 33/110#231% 34/11018% 20/11021% 18/8771% 12/17
CubsR21% 24/112#327% 30/11225% 28/11224% 27/11224% 27/112#132% 36/11225% 28/11222% 25/112#229% 26/8964% 7/11
RA21% 23/11223% 26/11222% 25/112#129% 33/112#228% 31/11221% 24/11220% 22/112#328% 31/11220% 17/8545% 5/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.