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Final
2024-08-0302:20Wrigley Field
3-6
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.9
Cardinals scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 13%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 22%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 70% · Season 51% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-5pp
7–9 Late
53%
+2pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
54%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games
0295887117545614649260543444545793549606575774731830299142010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 458Runs Allowed 494

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

111 games
02244668850411524924549347704556556151661447386483927914810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 462Runs Allowed 468
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR22% 24/10928% 31/109#133% 36/10926% 28/109#230% 33/10927% 29/109#329% 32/10924% 26/10926% 21/8265% 11/17
RA25% 27/10925% 27/10928% 30/10925% 27/109#132% 35/109#330% 33/109#231% 34/10917% 19/10921% 18/8771% 12/17
CubsR22% 24/111#326% 29/11125% 28/11124% 27/11124% 27/111#132% 36/11125% 28/11122% 24/111#229% 26/8964% 7/11
RA21% 23/11123% 26/11122% 24/111#130% 33/111#228% 31/11122% 24/11120% 22/111#327% 30/11120% 17/8445% 5/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.