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Final
2024-08-0208:05Wrigley Field
4-5
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals1000003004120
Cubs010001003X590

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cubs scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.9
Cardinals scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 13%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 17%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
45%R 55% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
25%R 20% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 70% · Season 51% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-3pp
7–9 Late
51%
+1pp
F5 first five
56%
+2pp
F9 full game
54%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

108 games
0295887117535614648260543444545793549596545774731830269142010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 454Runs Allowed 489

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

110 games
02244668850401514924549347704556556051661417386483627914810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 457Runs Allowed 464
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR21% 23/108#329% 31/108#133% 36/10826% 28/108#231% 33/10827% 29/10829% 31/10824% 26/10826% 21/8165% 11/17
RA25% 27/10824% 26/10828% 30/10825% 27/108#132% 35/108#330% 32/108#231% 34/10818% 19/10820% 17/8671% 12/17
CubsR22% 24/110#325% 28/11025% 28/11025% 27/11025% 27/110#132% 35/11025% 28/11022% 24/110#228% 25/8864% 7/11
RA20% 22/11024% 26/11022% 24/110#130% 33/110#228% 31/11022% 24/11019% 21/110#327% 30/11020% 17/8345% 5/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.